#header-inner img {margin: 0 auto !important; #header-inner {text-align: Center ;} Fiji Coupfourpointfive: Tebutt poll in 2006 showed public tilted towards the Qarase Government in the standoff with dictator threatening coup

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Sunday, September 11, 2011

Tebutt poll in 2006 showed public tilted towards the Qarase Government in the standoff with dictator threatening coup

QARASE IN LAST HOURS OF GOVERNMENT: December 2006.

 

BY VICTOR LAL

In November 2006 when Tebbutt Research Poll result favoured the beleaguered Laisenia Qarase led SDL-FLP government over the military commander Frank Bainimarama then threatening to execute a coup, the poll result was dismissed by the dictator.

 
Now, when a new poll by the same Tebutt is showing Bainimarama has “an approval” rating of more than two thirds, the Ministry of Information’s Sharon Smith-John says the poll “demonstrates the support of the people for this Government and the Government has always said this.”

 
The Lowy Institute in Australia, which has released the opinion poll results, said the result is the voice of the people of Fiji. The Institute’s Jenny Heyward-Jones says that while some may not like what they see in the results, the poll was conducted in an independent manner to find out what the people of Fiji think.

 
The poll report stated that Bainimarama has good support from 66% of the people polled, and 65% of the people believe Fiji is heading in the right direction. An overwhelming 95% of people support the right to vote in a free election, and around half of the people feel the government is doing a good job making progress to elections. 83% of the people surveyed believe Fiji should be left alone to sort out its return to democracy, and sanctions against the country should be lifted. 96% said the right to a media free from censorship is important to them.

 
The opinion poll had surveyed 1,032 people.

 
What did the Tebbutt Poll tell dictator Bainimarama in 2006
On 17 November 2006, at the height of a dangerous standoff between army commander Bainimarama and the Qarase led multi-party government, Tebbutt was commissioned, in part, by the Fiji Times to gauge public opinion in Fiji. Polling took place via personal interviews across Fiji between 14 and15 November, with a sample of 1018 adults. 

 
Here are some of the questions and answers:
“Who do you believe is in the right in the current standoff between the Military and the Government?”
The overall results showed 45% favouring the Government; 36% the Military; 6% both; 4% neither; others unsure.  By ethnic group, 67% of Fijians favoured the Government and only 18% favoured the Military; 54% of Indo-Fijians favoured the Military and only 24% favoured the Government.  By region, the Suva area was pretty evenly split: 42% Government; 38% Military.  In the West, the split was 51% Government; 31% Military.
PM Laisenia Qarase had strong Fijian backing; Bainimarama did not in the poll.

 
The poll also asked how good a job leaders were doing. Overall, PM Qarase had 57% approval and 23% disapproval.  He received 81% support from Fijians, with only 5% disapproving; Indo-Fijians showed 40% disapproval, with 34% approval. 

 
Overall, Bainimarama had 51% approval and 31% disapproval. He received only 30% approval from Fijians, with 53% disapproving; Indo-Fijians showed 71% approval and only 12% disapproval. 

 
Police Commissioner Andrew Hughes had public backing
Despite the dictator screaming for the resignation of Australian, Andrew Hughes (right), the Police Commissioner, Hughes received 79% approval and 7% disapproval, with all segments overwhelmingly positive. As we know, Bainimarama wanted Hughes out of Fiji because the Police Commissioner was pressing for various investigations into the dictator’s conduct since the 2000 mutiny, deaths and murders etc.



 Chaudhry and Beddoes showed strong approval rating
The then Leader of Opposition Mick Beddoes (left) also had strong figures, with overall 56% approval and 12% disapproval.  FLP leader Mahendra Chaudhry had 42% approval and 27% disapproval.  As expected, Chaudhry was favored by a majority of Ind-Fijians, but by only 30% of Fijians.

 
The Tebbutt Poll results reconfirmed the election results from May 2006: that a large majority of Fijians backed the SDL-FLP Qarase Government. 

 
The very high approval rating for Police Commissioner Hughes was another signal to Bainimarama that at least the demand for Hughes to resign was going against the public will. The only way Bainimarama could stop various criminal charges against him was to ignore the Tebbutt Poll results, and execute a coup on 5 December 2006 to save his skin.

 
How should one read the two Tebbutt Opinion Polls? One was conducted in a democracy and the recent one in a dictatorship.

24 comments:

  1. Can Treasonous Whisky Yabaki please read this opinion from Dr Victor Lal. Stop boosting about Frank's approval rating and get sober first from whisky please!!

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  2. Kick Bai, ASK and the cronnies out. Save Fiji and restore democracy NOW!

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  3. Tebutt better do proper research.
    I've alpready e-mailed Four Corners and they'll be on your case.

    -Valataka na Dina.

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  4. IF ASK/BAI THINK THEY HAVE PEOPLES SUPPORT.
    FORM A PARTY AND CONTEST THE ELECTION.
    SDL/FLP WILL WIN .
    ASK/BAI WILL NOT WIN A SEAT IN THE ELECTION.
    THEY WILL ROT IN JAIL.
    REMOVER ALL THE BS DECREES
    RESTORE BACK THE 1997 CONSTITUTION.
    ELECTION NOW .
    WE DONT NEED BS CHARTERS/OTHERS.
    GOD BLESS FIJI.
    RAJESH

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  5. Khaiyum, I want to smash your ugly face in pieces. You are one dead meat. Watch your back as your body guards will KILL you. You cannot trust anyone.

    Take this as a very serious warning, you will be killed soon.

    - Khaiyum Hater

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  6. Why is every one talking about this survey result anyway.In 2006 this same Teb..phukup survey result favoured Qarase..did it help him retain his legitimacy as the democratically elected PM?...NO!!
    Now it`s conducted another survey and the result has favoured the guy who shafted Qarase out..will it legitimise the exsistence of this dictotarial rule?..NEVER!!!
    A good topic to be discussed over a bucket of home brew under a mangoe tree...only this time,between VOREQE and KHAIYUM.

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  7. It seems Khaiyum and Bainimarama are alone now. In 2006, several prominent people who were on their side have seen the light, the list includes;
    MP Chaudhry, P. Bune, Lekh Vayehsnou, Felix Anthony, Dan Urai, Sada Reddy, John Samy, John Prasad, Fransis Narayan, Robin Nair, Sheista Shameem,Anand Singh, Pita Driti, Rajesh Singh, Ratu Ului Mara, and others, does it not mean something is wrong with khaiyum???

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  8. Great to see people of Fiji change their views and support the cause of Frank.

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  9. The only way one could read the two polls is that one was given freely without fear and intimidation from the heart while the other was passed on under extreme common sense caution from the head.

    With the post Dec 2006 "QEB treatment" a dreaded public knowledge, one really cannot expect anything else.

    Now, the research methodology as experts have pointed out, is so flawed that the report really is not worth the time or attention it is receiving. So no amount of explanation/justification/crap that Jenny or SS Johns or D Butt and co. give can take away the fact that the report belongs to the rubbish bin and the shredder and the incinerator FULL STOP. As they say, 'GOOD RIDDANCE TO BAD RUBBISH'.

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  10. FIJI IS BURNING! FIJI IS BURNING! FIRE! FIRE! FIRE! FIRE! GO AND FETCH ME SOME WATERS! UMMMMMM!! UMMMMM!!

    TM

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  11. Can someone KILL Khaiyum please!

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  12. The poll is a true indication of how people in Fiji feel at this very moment. We can all consider otherwise or believe it is one sided or does not paint a true picture of how people really feel but the bottom line is that the peole of Fiji have been governed by the Military regime for the past five years and they have submitted themselves to the rule of militiarism.
    Qarase was a weak leader and was easily manipulated by the Australian Government and the cronies who jumped ship from the Alliance party and the SVT party.
    His board included Jale Baba, Navi Naisoro and a host of others who were corrupt persons. Though Qarase put out great incentives to assist the Fijian people in their development, it was all corrupted by the people he elected to lead within the various ministries.
    There is no point dwelling in the past. Qarase had his time, he was deposed. Frank is here now. He is leading the country. What are we going to do about it. Rely on these polls. People of Fiji like I said before have to rise and show what has happened and remind themselves of the brutality of the Military regime. The ethnic Fijian people dont like talk. Talk is confusing. They want action. Chiefs must show their leadership ability and lead from the front. Sa rauta na vosa. Get it on or stop all this BS with 4.5 and other forums. The tebbut toll is an indication of the need to take the fight to Frank and the MILITARY. Kevaka sa rere se sonalevy na tamata, kua ni vakalusi gauna ena vosa. Even if entered into a new election and elect a new Government, do you really believe that it will change Fiji. No bloody way because the ame cronies from Alliance, SVT, SDL and FLp are hanging around and they will manipulate the Fijian people back into the old mould of thinking and we will again have a coup. SA RAUTA NA VOSA> TAKE ACTION OR SHUT UP NOW....

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  13. Whilst on the topic of Opinion Polls, I am reminded to my uttermost surprise and disbelief that according to the Fiji Sun [Friday 09 Sep 11 issue], the ILLEGAL PM is "More popular than Gillard'!!!!
    The "Mouth" ORGAN of the regime even claims "OUR" PM!! Hello! "OUR" PM ??????????
    To the Fiji Sun tabetabes : Peter Lomas, Epineri Vula, and Leone Cabenatabua : enough is enough. Stop all the lying and the bullshit!!
    You only make FOOLS of yourselves.
    You people are a mirror reflection of the idiot Voreqe - no class , no ethics, no morals, no standing in society, no professionalism, etc etc.
    How dare you compare Ms Gillard to the IDIOT!!!!
    Rau duidui - TAMANI DUIDUI!1
    I need not tell you the difference - we all the right thinking people know the difference.
    Just a word of caution : "Cover your backs" - we are watching ALL your individual moves - what time you arrive and leave work, where you go, where your families go, every move!!!!

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  14. Well said Kkahiyum Hater, except that he is not 'dead meat" but DEAD PIG MEAT" the suwara ke bhajah!!

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  15. lol@tabutt reseach

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  16. Jake says....

    FRANK & AIYAZ TO PROVE POLL IS CREDIBLE, WHY NOT FORM A POLITICAL PARTY AND TEST YOUR SUPPORT FROM THE PEOPLE OF FIJI.

    THAT'S THE ONLY WAY.

    WHAT ARE YOU BOTH AFRAIF OFF...NABORO IS WAITING YARR.

    BESIDES NO FIJIAN WILL EVER VOTE FOR YOU BOTH KNOWINGLY THAT THIS COUP IS FULL OF BULLS & PERSECUTION OF INNOCENT LIVES.

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  17. COMPOL Andrew Hughes, ACP Bulaminaivalu,ACP Joe Rasiga and the Police were closing in on the Vore, with hard and damaging evidence.
    It was the the idiot Winston Peters the then Minister under Helen Clark who advised that The Vore should NOT be arrested in Wellington.
    May you ROT in HELL wINSTON!!!!

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  18. The Looney InstituteSeptember 11, 2011 at 7:53 PM

    The Looney Institute is going to conduct a survey amongst its own staff. Some of the questions being asked include:
    1. Do you know what a coup is?
    2. Do you know what a military junta is?
    3. Do you know what human right abuse means?
    4. Do you like playing with hand puppets?
    5. Do green goons in uniform get you excited?
    6. In Fiji, do you think people should be flogged by the military before or after lunch?
    7. Do you love Bhaini? Think carefully - if you say 'no' you will be handed over to Back door Benny Naliva
    8. Is it true that public self abuse is a pre-requisite for appointment to the Looney Institute?
    9. Can you count to 'three'?
    10 Have you ever had a real job?

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  19. Vinaka vakalevu coup 4.5. As you said "one poll was conducted in a democracy and the other, in a dictatorship".

    Fijians are obviously giving out their opinions during this 2011 Lowly Institute poll under duress and fear.

    I bet my friend Chaudhry has further lost his support. And I am now suspecting that he was supporting Bainimarama even during the 2006 impasse. Why would he decline a ministerial portfolio when Qarase offered him one during that time, and then, later, joined Bainimarama's circle of illegal ministers.

    Sa qai matata tiko ga mai na mata ni meke qo.

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  20. @Anonymous 5:28
    If you knew that Navi Naisoro, Jale Baba and Qarase were corrupt individuals, then why didn't you report it to the Police?
    Why didn't you write it in the newspapers?
    That's what happens in a Democracy.

    You don't just go around and do Coups because you don't like somebody.

    All you people that do Coups are losers.

    But now just look at what you guys have done:
    Poverty increased to 60% since 2006
    Child sexual abuse has escalated since the Police was taken over by the Army.
    Increased Unemployment.
    Increased criminal activity including more corruption than ever.
    $700,000 dollar salary to stuff up the country.
    No medicine in the hospitals. And the Minister for health telling Fijians to go and buy their Diabetes medicine. In the next 6 months you will see more Fijians hopping around with one leg and no fingers as the Surgeons begin to chop off their bits because there is no medicine.
    You guys are fools!
    You don't stop to think about the consequences of doing Coups.
    You are all hopeless.
    If you think that you can go through life by abusing everyone then you obviously have some serious problem.
    Someone by the name of Hitler tried that once.
    And you obviously haven't learned from history. (and are condemned to repeat it)
    Why don't you grow up and Get a life and form a political party and call it the "No Corruption Party".
    May be I'll vote for you.

    -Valataka na Dina.

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  21. @annon.5:28pm..Characteriscaly VOREQE!!!..TUBU NI DRA,vosavosa vakalialia,vakateratera ni tawa tiko na ligana kei na dakuna,viavialevu,dokadoka,veibeci!!!
    ..worthless kaiviti.

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  22. Cabenatabua : We are going to come and get you!! Have a guess who? No, it will NOT be the VRF!!
    It will be ........!!!

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  23. Isa Lai, a weitou wakolo mai mada.mada sara esega tu ga ni ta..ia kai sa na qai mai taya tu a matanitu ka keta kaya jiko ni cau digitaki...vosota Lai..lako ga ki vanua me laki tomani a tei uvi mai Tota....

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  24. Lai had his chance but wasted it simply because of lack of vision & arrogance! When Mahen wahted to play the game fo Politics Lai should have at the very least not bow down to pressure from within but thought of Fiji not of the just one particular Ethnic Group iTaukei as he tried to make! The realist was he was going to amass as much money for himslef & his GOONES! Now where has he gone including the Goones-as one Waleilakeba is now more than willing to give evidence against him to save his own skin?? Tari Tara, Ta Tiqo tika.. where have all the flowers gone radini PM?

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